ΰÒײ©

  •  Î°Òײ©Ê×Ò³
  •  ½ÌѧÏîÄ¿
    ±¾¿Æ ѧÊõ˶²© MBA EMBA ¸ß²ãÖÎÀí½ÌÓý »á¼Æ˶ʿ ½ðÈÚ˶ʿ ÉÌÒµÆÊÎö˶ʿ Êý×Ö½ÌÓý ¿Î³ÌÍƼö
  •  ±±´óÖ÷Ò³
  •  Óû§µÇ¼
    ½ÌÖ°Ô±µÇ¼ ѧÉúµÇ¼ ΰÒײ©ÓÊÏä
  •  ½ÌÔ±ÕÐƸ  ¾èÔù
English
ΰÒײ©(ÖйúÇø)¹Ù·½ÍøÕ¾
ΰÒײ©(ÖйúÇø)¹Ù·½ÍøÕ¾

ΰÒײ©¹Êʼ¯

У³¤½±Ñ§½ð | ãÆêÏ£ºÇ±ÐÄÇóË÷£¬ÏíÊÜÀú³Ì

Ðû²¼Ê±¼ä£º 2021-12-17

±àÕß°´

Editor's Note

ÂÄ·½ÖÂÔ¶£¬´º»ªÇïʵ¡£±¾Ñ§ÆÚ£¬2021-2022ѧÄê¶È±±¾©´óѧ¡°Ð£³¤½±Ñ§½ð¡±ÆÀÉóЧ¹ûÐû²¼£¬Î°Òײ©ÖÎÀíѧԺÍõè´¡¢Ñî·«¡¢ÌÀÌ©„¡¢ãÆêÏ¡¢ÁÎÁÕ¡¢ÂóľÈØ¡¢ÏàÅåÈØ¡¢Íô˼Τ¡¢³ÂÕêÖñ¡¢·ëÒµÙ»µÈ10ÃûͬÑâÈÙ»ñ´Ë½±Ïî¡£

У³¤½±Ñ§½ðÊDZ±¾©´óѧÉèÁ¢µÄÉùÓþÐÔ×î¸ß¡¢×ÊÖú¶î¶È×î´ó¡¢Ó°Ïì¹æÄ£×î¹ãµÄÑо¿Éú½±Ñ§½ð£¬Ö¼ÔÚÓÅ»¯¸ßÌõÀíÈ˲Å×÷ÓýÇéÐΣ¬¼¤Àø²©Ê¿Éú´Óʸßˮƽ¿ÆѧÑо¿£¬Ôö½øѧУµÄѧ¿ÆÉú³¤ºÍÑо¿Éú×÷ÓýÖÊÁ¿µÄÖÜÈ«Ìá¸ß¡£

ÒòѧÊõ£¬¶øÍ·ÄÔ£»ÒòÍ·ÄÔ£¬¶øΰÒײ©¡£ÈÙ»ñУ³¤½±Ñ§½ðÊDz©Ê¿ÉúÔÚ¿ÆÑзÉÏ×Î×ÎÇóË÷ºóÈ¡µÃÇ°½øµÄÓÐÁ¦Ó¡Ö¤£¬ÎªÁË·ÖÏí¸ü¶à²©Ê¿ÉúµÄÉú³¤ÐÄ·Àú³Ì£¬Öµ´Ë½±Ï²¼Ö®¼Ê£¬ÎÒÃÇÌØÊâÍƳö¡°Î°Òײ©¹Êʼ¯Ö®Ð£³¤½±Ñ§½ðϵÁС±¡£

ÈËÎïÏÈÈÝ

ãÆêÏ£¬Î°Òײ©Í³¼Æѧרҵ2020¼¶²©Ê¿Ñо¿Éú£¬Ê¦´Ó³ÂËÉõè½ÌÊÚ£¬Ñо¿Æ«ÏòΪÊýÀíͳ¼ÆÓëÓ¦Óᣲ©Ê¿½×¶ÎÏÖÒѽÒÏþ2ƪSCIÂÛÎÄ£¬¼ÓÈë¡°±äϵÊýÊ¢Ðв¡Ñ§Ä£×ÓµÄͳ¼ÆÍƶϡ±µÈ¿ÆÑÐÏîÄ¿¡£Ôø»ñµÃ¹ú¼Ò½±Ñ§½ð£¬±±¾©´óѧÈýÇÚѧÉúµÈ½±ÏÊÇ2021-2022ѧÄ격ʿÑо¿ÉúУ³¤½±Ñ§½ð»ñµÃÕß¡£


µÀËäåÇ£¬²»¿É²»ÖÁ£»

ÊÂËäС£¬²»Îª²»¿É¡£

¡ª¡ª¡¶Ü÷×Ó¡¤ÐÞÉí¡·



ÔÚ¹¥¶Á²©Ê¿Ê±´ú£¬ÎÒºÜÊÇÐÒÔË¿ÉÒÔ»ñµÃ±±¾©´óѧ²©Ê¿ÉúУ³¤½±Ñ§½ðÕâÒ»ÊâÈÙ¡£ÎÒÌØÊâллµ¼Ê¦³ÂËÉõè½ÌÊÚÒ»Ö±ÒÔÀ´µÄϤÐÄÖ¸µ¼ºÍÃãÀø£¬ÈÃÎÒÊÜÒæ·Ëdz£»Ð»Ð»¿ÎÌâ×éÁÐλͬÑâµÄÖ§³ÖºÍ×ÊÖú£¬ÔÚÏàÖúÖÐÅäºÏÇ°½ø£»Ð»Ð»Ñ§Ð£ºÍѧԺ¸øÓèµÄÈÏ¿É£¬Õ⼤Àø×ÅÎÒÔ½ÌáÒé¾¢×ö³ö¸üºÃµÄÊÂÇé¡£ÔÚ´ËÎÒ¼òÆÓ·ÖÏíÏÂ×Ô¼ºµÄ¶Á²©ÂÄÀúºÍ¸ÐÊÜ£¬×£Ô¸Í¬ÑâÃǶ¼ÄÜÔÚ¸÷×ÔµÄÑо¿ÁìÓò˶¹ûÀÛÀÛ£¬¾«²Ê·×³Ê¡£


ïƶø²»Éᣬ½ðʯ¿ÉïÎ

×öÑо¿ÊÇÒ»¸öÔÚÇ°È˵Ļù´¡ÉÏÍØչ֪ʶ½çÏßµÄÀú³Ì£¬ÄÑÃâ»áÓöµ½ÐÎÐÎÉ«É«µÄÄÑÌâºÍ×è°­¡£2020ÄêÍ·£¬Ð¹ڷÎÑ×ͻȻϮÀ´£¬ÔÚµ¼Ê¦³ÂËÉõè½ÌÊÚµÄÏòµ¼Ï£¬ÎÒÃÇ¿ÎÌâ×é¶ÔйڷÎÑ×µÄÊ¢Ðв¡Ä£×Ó¾ÙÐÐÁËһϵÁÐͳ¼Æ½¨Ä£Ñо¿¡£ÕâÊÇÒ»¸öºÜÊǽôÆȶøÖ÷ÒªµÄ¿ÆÑÐʹÃü£¬ÐèÒªÎÒÃǺÍʱ¼äÈüÅÜ£¬ÔÚ×î¶ÌµÄʱ¼äÀï×ö³ö×îÓŵÄÊ¢Ðв¡Ä£×ÓÀ´Ãè»æ¶¯Ì¬µÄÒßÇéʱÊÆ¡£

ÔÚÕâ¸öÀú³ÌÖУ¬ÖÖÖÖÒâÏë²»µ½µÄÎÊÌâ½Óõà¶øÖÁ£º¹Å°åÄ£×ӵľÖÏÞ¡¢Êý¾Ýͳ¼Æ¿Ú¾¶µÄת±ä¡¢ÒÉËƺÍÎÞ֢״ѬȾÕß´øÀ´µÄ²»È·¶¨ÐÔµÈÖî¶àÒòËظøÎÒÃÇ´øÀ´Á˼«´óµÄÌôÕ½¡£ÔÚ×î¼èÄѵÄʱÆÚ£¬³ÂËÉõè½ÌÊÚÏòµ¼ÎÒÃÇÌìÌ쿪Á½´Î×é»á£¬Ò»Ö±µØÔÚÀíÂÛºÍÓ¦ÓÃÉÏË¢ÐÂÄ£×Ó¡£³ÂÏÈÉúÉõÖÁÔÚ·É»úÉ϶¼ÔÚÍÆÑÝÒßÇéÈö²¥µÄÊýѧÃè»æ£¬ÎÒÃÇÒ²ÊÇÌìÌìÍêÈ«ÌÕ×íÔÚÀíÂۺʹúÂëÖ®ÖС£

¹¦·ò²»¸ºÓÐÐÄÈË£¬ÎÒÃÇ¿ÎÌâ×éÖÕÓÚÀֳɽâ¾öÁËÄ£×ÓÉϵÄÎÊÌ⣬Ìá³öÁ˸üÌùºÏйڷÎÑ×µÄÖØ´óÈö²¥Ä£Ê½µÄÊ¢Ðв¡Ä£×Ó£¬²¢¼ÌÐø¿ªÕ¹Á˶Ը÷¹úÒßÇé·À¿ØЧ¹ûµÄÆÊÎöÑо¿¡£×÷ΪÎÒ²©Ê¿Ê±´úµÄµÚÒ»¶ÎÑо¿ÂÄÀú£¬Õâ¶ÎÀú³Ì²»µ«ÊÇÕä¹óµÄÓ°Ïó£¬Ò²´ø¸øÁËÎҺܴóµÄÓ°Ïì¡£¿ÆÑÐ֮·µÀ×èÇÒ³¤£¬ÈÍÐÔºÍÒãÁ¦±Ø²»¿ÉÉÙ¡£ÄÑÌâÓúÉîå䣬˼Ë÷Óú¾Ã£¬¹¥¿ËÄѹصijɼ¨¸ÐÒ²¾ÍÓúÄÑ¿°£¬ÕâÒ²ÊÇ×öѧÊõ×îÓÐȤµÄµØ·½¡£


õÖÀ÷¸ß°º£¬ÏíÊÜÀú³Ì

µ¼Ê¦³ÂËÉõè½ÌÊÚÒ»¾­Ëµ¹ýÒ»¾ä»°¸øÎÒ´øÀ´Á˺ÜÉîµÄ´¥¶¯£¬¡°À´µ½Õâ¸öÔ°×ÓµÄÿСÎÒ˽¼Ò¶¼ÊǺÜÖǻ۵Ä£¬ÄÜ×ßµ½¶àÔ¶¡¢Äܲ»¿ÉÈ¡µÃ×îÖÕµÄÀÖ³ÉÈ¡¾öÓÚÄãµÄmotivationÓжàÇ¿¡±¡£³ÏÈ»£¬×÷ΪһÃû²©Ê¿Éú£¬×öÑо¿²»µ«ÊÇÐËȤҲӦÊÇÊÂÒµ£¬ÐèÒª¼á³ÖÒ»¿ÅºÃÆæÐĺÍһֱ̽Ë÷µÄÐÄ£¬Ê±Ê±¼¤Àø×Ô¼º×öµÃ¸üºÃ¡£

ÃæÁÙÒ»¸öеÄÎÊÌâµÄʱ¼ä£¬ÎÒÃÇÒªÓÃÒ»ÖÖ¿ÊÇóµÄÐÄÇéѧϰÐí¶àеÄ֪ʶºÍÊÖÒÕ²¢Ñ§»áÓ¦ÓÃÔÚ×Ô¼ºµÄÑо¿Àï¡£µ±Òâʶµ½×Ô¼ºÔÚÄÄÒ»·½Ãæ±£´æ¶Ì°åµÄʱ¼äÒ²ÐèÒªÁ¢ÂíÏë²½·¥²¹ÉÏ¡£ÀýÈç·¢Ã÷×Ô¼ºµÄд×÷ÄÜÁ¦È±·¦Ê±£¬¿ÉÄܾÍÒª¶à×ܽáһϳ£·¸µÄ¹ýʧ£¬ÔÚƽʱÔĶÁ¶¥¿¯µÄʱ¼ä¶à×¢ÖØѧϰºÃÎÄÕµÄÐÐÎÄ×éÖ¯ºÍDz´ÊÔì¾ä£¬ÓÐÓõĵط½Ò²¿ÉÒԼͼÏÂÀ´¡£ÈôÊÇÊÇ֪ʶ·½ÃæµÄȱÏÝ£¬¾ÍÐèÒªÎÒÃÇDZÐıչØÐÞÁ¶£¬Ö±µ½°ÑÒ»¸öÒɵ㳹µ×½â¾ö¡£ÔÚ²©Ê¿Ê±´úÎÒÃÇÒ»¶¨»á¾­³£·¢Ã÷×Ô¼ºÔÚij·½ÃæÄÜÁ¦µÄȱ·¦ºÍ֪ʶÉϵĿÕȱ£¬ÔÚ×öÑо¿µÄÀú³ÌÖÐÒ»Ö±ÌôսеÄÎÊÌ⡢ͨ¹ýÆð¾¢È¥Ìá¸ß×Ô¼ºµÄÀú³ÌÊǺÜÊÇÓгɼ¨¸ÐµÄ¡£


ÕÆÎÕÐľ³£¬¼á³Öƽºâ

¿ÆÑеÄÀú³Ì´ø¸øÈ˵ĸÐÊÜËäÈ»²»¶¼ÊÇÊÕ»ñµÄϲÔ㬸ü¶à¿ÉÄÜ»áÊǹýɽ³µ°ãÐË·ÜÓëáÝáåµÄ½»Ö¯¡£Ñ§»áÖÎÀíÇéÐ÷£¬¼á³ÖÀÖ¹ÛµÄÐÄ̬ºÜÊÇÖ÷Òª¡£Ò»·½ÃæƽʱҪ³£¸ø×Ô¼ºÒ»Ð©Æð¾¢µÄÐÄÀíÌåÏÖ£¬ÕÒµ½ÊʺÏ×Ô¼ºµÄÅÅDzÇéÐ÷·½·¨£¬Ñ§»áרעÓÚÎÊÌâ×Ô¼º£¬¶ø²»ÊDZ»Ö÷¹ÛµÄÇéÐ÷×óÓÒ¡£ÁíÒ»·½ÃæÒ²¿ÉÒÔ¶àÓëÏÈÉúºÍͬÑâÏàͬ¡£µ¼Ê¦³ÂËÉõèÏÈÉú¾­³£»áºÍÎÒÃǽ»Á÷½üÆڵĿÆÑÐ״̬£¬²¢ÇÒÔÚÎÒÃÇ×îÐèÒªµÄʱ¼ä¸øÓè³ä·ÖµÄÃãÀøºÍÖ§³Ö¡£

ÓÐÒ»¸ö½×¶ÎÎÒµÄÑо¿ÂÄÀúÁ˺ܳ¤Ê±¼ä¶¼Ã»ÄÜÈ¡µÃÍ»ÆÆ£¬Ðí¶à´ÎµÄÆ𾢶¼ÊÇÔÚÒÔΪÎÊÌâ²îδ¼¸½â¾öÁ˵Äʱ¼äÓÖ·¢Ã÷еÄÎÊÌ⣬ÄÇʱ¼äÎÒ¸ÐÊܺÜÊÇѹÖÆ¡£³ÂÏÈÉú×¢Öص½ÎÒÃæÁÙµÄÐÄ̬ÎÊÌâºóºÍÎÒÁÄÁËÐí¶à´Î£¬Ã¿´ÎÔÚÒ»ÆðÌÖÂÛºÍ˼Ë÷½â¾ö;¾¶µÄͬʱҲ°ïÎÒÕÒ»ØÐÅÐĺÍ״̬£¬ÖÕÓÚÔÚÏÈÉúµÄÖ¸ÒýÏÂÎÒÕÒµ½ÁËÒ»¸öÍ»ÆÆ¿Ú£¬ºóÐøµÄÑо¿¾ÍÇåÎúÁËÐí¶à¡£

¶Á²©µÄÀú³ÌËäÈ»ÊÇÒ»³¡ÐÞÐУ¬µ«Ò²¾ø²»Êǹ¼ŵĶÀÐС£ÔÚÎÒµÄÉí±ßÓÐÐí¶àÌØÊâÓÅÒìÇÒÓÐȤµÄͬ°éºÍʦÐÖʦ½ã£¬ÎÒÃÇ·ÖÏí×ÅÏàËƵÄÉúÑÄ£¬Óöµ½ÁËÎÊÌâÒ²¿ÉÒÔÏ໥֧³ÖºÍÃãÀø£¬ÓÐÕâÑùµÄÇéÐÎÎÒ¸ÐÊܺÜÊÇÐÒÔË¡£Ñ§ÊõÑо¿³¤Â·ÂþÂþ£¬ÐÒÓÐÁ¼Ê¦ÒæÓѺÍÑàÔ°ÀïÓÅä×µÄѧÊõÇéÐΡ£ÔÚÒÔºóµÄ¿ÆÑÐÖ®ÖУ¬ÎÒ»á¼ÌÐøÍƶ¯×Ô¼ºÒ»Ö±Éú³¤£¬¼á¶¨µØíÆíÂÇ°ÐУ¬²¢×¨ÐĸÐÊÜÕâÀú³ÌµÄ¾«²Ê¡£


ѧÊõЧ¹û

1¡¢Han Yan, Yuru Zhu, Jia Gu, Yaxuan Huang, Haoxuan Sun, Xinyu Zhang, Yuqing Wang, Yumou Qiu, Song Xi Chen(2021) Better Strategies for Containing COVID-19 Pandemic¨CA Study of 25 Countries via a vSIADR Model,Proceedings of the Royal SocietyA, 476: 20200440.

2¡¢Jia Gu, Han Yan, Yaxuan Huang, Yuru Zhu, Haoxuan Sun, Yumou Qiu and SongXi Chen(2020). Comparing Containment Measures among Nations by Epidemiological Effects of COVID-19.National Science Review, 7: 1847¨C1851. doi: 10.1093/nsr/nwaa243.

3¡¢Haoxuan Sun, Yumou Qiu, Han Yan, Yaxuan Huang, Yuru Zhu, Jia Gu and Song Xi Chen(2020) Tracking Reproductivity of COVID-19 Epidemic in China with Varying Coefficient SIR Model (with discussion),Journal of Data Science18 (3), 455¨C472.


ΰÒײ©¹Êʼ¯

¡¶Î°Òײ©¹Êʼ¯¡·Õä²ØÒ»½ì½ìΰÒײ©Ñ§×ӵĹÊÊ¡£ÍòÎïÉú³¤£¬¸÷×Ô¸ßÉУ¬Î°Òײ©×ðÖØѧÉú¶àÔª»¯µÄ¾ÍҵѡÔñºÍÈËÉúÍýÏ룬ÃãÀøѧÉúÔÚʵÏÖСÎÒ˽¼Ò¼ÛÖµµÄͬʱ»ØÀ¡Éç»á¡¢Ô츣Éç»á¡£ËûÃǵĹÊÊÂÚ¹ÊÍÁË¡°ÒòÍ·ÄÔ ¶øΰÒײ©¡±£¬ËûÃǵĹÊÊÂת´ï×Å¡°ÉÙÄêÐÄÑàÔ°Ç顱£¬ËûÃǵĹÊʽ²ÊöÁË¡°¾ÛÊÇÒ»ÍÅ»ð É¢×÷ÂúÌìÐÇ¡±¡£



ÍƼöÔĶÁ

У³¤½±Ñ§½ð | ÌÀÌ©„£º²»Çó×öµÄ×îºÃ£¬µ«Çó×öµÄ¸üºÃУ³¤½±Ñ§½ð | Ñî·«£ºÇ§ÀïÖ®ÐУ¬Ê¼ÓÚ×ãÏ£¬×öÍ·ÄÔÕßÒ²×öÐж¯Õß

У³¤½±Ñ§½ð | Íõè´£º³¤Â·ÂþÂþ£¬ÉÏÏÂÇóË÷ѧÊõÉú³¤Ø­10ÃûΰÒײ©²©Ê¿ÉúÈÙ»ñ±±´ó¡°Ð£³¤½±Ñ§½ð¡±

¸ßÖÊÁ¿Ñ§ÊõÂÛÎÄÊÇÔõÑùÁ¶³ÉµÄ£¿11λ»ñ½±Õß·ÖÏíÐĵÃ

Òµ¾«ÓÚÇÚ | ÁÖÓ±Ù»ÈÙ»ñ2021Äê±±¾©´óѧÓÅÒ첩ʿÂÛÎĽ±



·ÖÏí

ÓÊÏ䣺admission@gsm.pku.edu.cn

Óʱࣺ100871

×Éѯµç»°£º010-62747014 / 7283

ÁªÏµµØµã£º±±¾©Êк£µíÇøÒúÍ԰·5ºÅΰÒײ©¿ÆÑÐÂ¥K07

?2017 ΰÒײ© °æȨËùÓÐ   ¾©ICP±¸05065075-1

¡¾ÍøÕ¾µØͼ¡¿¡¾sitemap¡¿